Miami's Multiple Money Visions

Countless, competing imaginings of money

To paraphrase a classic meme of this NFT moment: "We're NOT all gonna make it." (wNagmi?)

 

Still, it's also true to say that change is also inevitable. There is a Cambrian explosion of innovation underway. A powerful force of rapid evolution has been unleashed. Even if governments and other institutions wanted to maintain the dominance of the old system, they can't. This is unstoppable. 

 

Get ready to embrace the weird.

Off the Charts

Ethereum Shows Strength

Bitcoin's latest all-time highs (ATH) on Oct. 20 and Nov. 8, were short-lived, with the asset spending just nine days above April's top before crashing more than 23%.

 

In bitcoin's weakness, ether showed strength. ETH/BTC, a measure of ether's price relative to bitcoin at any given time, is again nearing its highest levels since 2018. ETH gaining on BTC has historically provided significant insight to the state of the market. During 2017-2018, ETH/BTC peaked at 0.156, sending small-cap coins flying and eventually marking the end of the cycle.

 

ETH's latest gain on bitcoin could mean several things, including:

  1. We are seeing late-cycle market structure, with retail directing its interest outside of bitcoin.
  2. New/institutional capital is interested in easily programmable smart contract platforms.
  3. EIP 1559's fee burn (transaction fees burnt from supply) has taken significant sell pressure off of ether as it has been nearly deflationary. 

Maybe all these reasons are relevant. While ETH has appreciated on BTC significantly, it has done nothing close to the numbers of other smart contract platforms. Solana, Avalanche and Fantom's native tokens (SOL, AVAM and FTM) have returned 15,290%, 12,464% and 3,336%, respectively, for the year to date. The adoption of decentralized finance (DeFi) and NFTs helped bring light to the potential of blockchain tech. During previous cycles, the technology was hardly used and mainly a tool of speculation. 

 

Is this adoption strong enough to send the ETH/BTC ratio back to its highs?

 

Teddy Oosterbaan, CoinDesk Research Analyst

A message from Amber

Amber Group is an integrated digital asset platform serving retail and institutional clients by providing deep liquidity, attractive yields, and sophisticated portfolio management tools. With 12 offices on three continents, and nearly a trillion dollars in volume traded, Amber Group offers clients personalized, compliant, and secure service across dozens of digital assets.

 

Find out more at www.ambergroup.io

The Conversation

Block and Tackle

Illustration: Rachel Sun/CoinDesk

It was a big news week for high-profile bitcoin fan Jack Dorsey. Twitter announced on Monday he has stepped down as CEO. Then on Wednesday, Square – the other company in which he held that position – would change its name to "Block." The second announcement gave Crypto Twitter something to have fun with, but not until Square had had some fun with its announcement. 


A few tweets into a thread explaining the name change as one that ties its four business lines together, Square used the occasion to take a dig at Meta, the new corporate name of Facebook. 

There wasn't much information in the announcement pertaining to Square's investments in crypto business, except to highlight a change in Square Crypto's name to Spiral. But that didn't stop Crypto Twitter from drawing its own conclusions for why a name synonymous with "blockchain" was chosen.  

One crypto tweeter put an especially positive spin on things. 

But it was Frank Chaparro of CoinDesk competitor, The Block, who won Twitter. 

Relevant Reads

The Future of Money

In addition to three stories mentioned and linked in the column above, there were many other great reads included in CoinDesk's Future of Money week. Here's a sampling. 

  • Contributor Matthew Prewitt explores how the trio of money characteristics that economists have long argued to be the defining features of money  – Unit of Account, Medium of Exchange and Store of Value – might not be as aligned in the future. It's a brilliant way to challenge the dismissiveness with which many traditional economists view the volatility of bitcoin.
  • Jeff Wilser, a regular CoinDesk contributor, offers up "Seven Wild Scenarios for the Future of Money." His lists include a world of programmable money and machine-to-machine transactions in which "cars spend money and buy their own insurance," and a situation where "money goes intergalactic."
  • If Wilser's wild visions of the future seem a bit much, CoinDesk Executive Editor Marc Hochstein is here to offer a cautionary message. He interviews Steven Kelly, a research associate at the Yale Program on Financial Stability, who lays out "The Downside of Programmable Money."

Money Reimagined

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