Bitcoin Breaks Above $45K

Next stop, $50K?
  • Technician's Take: Bitcoin Holds Support; Next Resistance at $50K
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    Gainers:

    • Bitcoin (BTC): +2.6%
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    • Uniswap (UNI): +0.7%

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    Market Moves

    by Sebastian Sinclair

    Bitcoin Cools on 3-Month High as Long-Term Moving Average Looms Large

    Bitcoin reached its highest point in almost three months on Saturday before paring back some of the weekend's gains.

     

    Prices have since cooled and are down around 1.5% on a 24-hour basis after reaching a top of $45,300 – their highest point since May 18. As of press time, bitcoin (BTC) is changing hands for around $43,430.

     

    Datamish data show bitcoin's push to higher price highs (HH) and higher price lows (HL) was precipitated by a short squeeze which saw 126 BTC short positions liquidated on Friday.

     

    "Perpetual funding rates have turned positive, meaning that the derivatives market is clearly positioned to the long side," Toby Chapple, head of trading at digital asset firm Zerocap told CoinDesk via Telegram. "This positioning is also supported by an expanding futures basis curve, showing that market sentiment is gradually building."

     

    Significant outflows from exchanges have also been accelerating, indicating a lack of short-term selling intent, according to the digital asset firm. Despite market concerns around the proposed crypto tax reporting provision in the U.S. infrastructure bill, institutional activity is once again on the rise.

     

    "This is reflected in the Grayscale premium reaching toward positive territory, albeit slowly," said Chapple.

     

    Indeed, on-chain data also suggests further signs of bullish activity. Wallet addresses with greater than 0.1 BTC are at their highest point in two months and have continued to rise since July 28, up 3.19 million from June 14's 3.14 million, Glassnode data show.

    BTC/USD Daily Chart Bitstamp Exchange (Source: TradingView)

    Whales, or large market participants holding between 100 and 10,000 BTC, continue to build long-term positioning which "bodes well for the structure of the market," according to Zerocap.

     

    Bitcoin's HH and HL bullish charting pattern tells of the risk-taking mood currently brewing in the market which has driven prices toward the 200-day moving average – a significant marker of bullish activity when prices are above and conversely bearish when below.

     

    "The 200-day moving average at approximately $45,000 has provided some resistance –  a clean break here could lead to the next accelerated push higher," Chapple said.

     

    Other notable cryptos in the top 20 by market capitalization are also shedding some of the weekend gains with chainlink (LINK)polygon (MATIC), and dogecoin (DOGE) having sunk the lowest.

     

    Meanwhile, the often touted cousin of bitcoin, gold's spot price briefly plummeted to a low of $1,681 from around $1,760 on Sunday evening. Prices have continued to build and are sitting around $1,761 per troy ounce.

     

    Technician's Take

    by Damanick Dantes, CMT

    Bitcoin Holds Support; Next Resistance at $50K

    Bitcoin (BTC) rallied above $45,000 as upside momentum improved over the past two weeks. The next level of resistance is seen at $50,000, which could limit further upside given short-term overbought signals. Bitcoin is up about 2% over the past 24 hours – around $45,600 at press time and holding support above $40,000.

    Bitcoin daily price chart shows support and resistance levels with MACD and RSI (Source: TradingView)

    • The relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart is overbought for the second time since July 31, which preceded a near 10% price decline.

    • However, the weekly RSI is rising from neutral levels with a positive momentum signal for the first time since October 2020, which reignited the long-term uptrend.

    • Buyers could remain active on pullbacks this week as bitcoin cleared important technical levels such as the 100-day moving average.   

     

    Read the original story here:

    Bitcoin Holds Support; Next Resistance at $50K

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    Disclaimer: The information presented in this message is intended as a news item that provides a brief summary of various events and developments that affect, or that might in the future affect, the value of one or more of the cryptocurrencies described above. The information contained in this message, and any information liked through the items contained herein, is not intended to provide sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision. The information presented herein is accurate only as of its date, and it was not prepared by a research analyst or other investment professional. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency before deciding to purchase or sell any such instruments. 

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