First Mover: Bitcoin Drops After Musk Tweets of Breakup

PLUS: Bitcoin Runs into Offers Above Price Hurdle Ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls
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Technician's Take

by Omkar Godbole

Bitcoin Runs into Offers Above Price Hurdle Ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls

Bitcoin has retreated to the sub-$37,000 region, having failed to keep gains above the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) early Friday.

Bitcoin's 4-hour chart (Source: TradingView)

  • The cryptocurrency was priced near $36,800 at press time – down 6% on the day. The 20-day SMA was seen at $38,400.

  • The 4-hour chart shows the cryptocurrency has dived below the uptrend line rising from lows near $33,000while the relative strength index (RSI) has dipped into a bearish territory below 50.

  • That shows scope for a deeper decline, which will likely materialize if the U.S. Nonfarm payrolls figure due at 18:00 UTC blows past expectations. A substantially higher-than-expected payroll number could boost the probability of an early scaling back of stimulus by the Federal Reserve.

  • The data is expected to show the economy added 664,000 jobs in May, far above 266,000 initially reported for April, according to FXStreet.

  • Likewise, bitcoin may see recovery if the jobs data disappoints expectations by a big margin. That said, the outlook will remain bearish while prices are held under the 200-day SMA at $41,576.

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BOLO

Be on the look out for some of these upcoming events:

 

  • 12:30 UTC (8:30 a.m. ET):
    • Unemployment rate (May). Est: 5.9%
    • Nonfarm payroll (May). Est: 671,000
    • Average hourly earnings (May). Est: 0.2%

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In case you missed it, here are the most recent episodes of "First Mover" on CoinDesk TV:

 

How Big a Hurdle Is $40K Resistance for Bitcoin? Comptroller of the Currency's Crypto Concerns

"First Mover" with crypto markets analysis: Is bitcoin still in a bull market? What are institutional investors doing? Raghu Yarlagadda of FalconX joins our markets discussion. World-renowned photographer Platon and Michael Blu, co-founder of NFT platform LGND, discuss what NFTs mean to artists and the art industry. Plus, highlights of Platon's NFT series of extreme eye close-ups of his subjects.

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Disclaimer: The information presented in this message is intended as a news item that provides a brief summary of various events and developments that affect, or that might in the future affect, the value of one or more of the cryptocurrencies described above. The information contained in this message, and any information liked through the items contained herein, is not intended to provide sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision. The information presented herein is accurate only as of its date, and it was not prepared by a research analyst or other investment professional. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency before deciding to purchase or sell any such instruments. 

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