The SEC's lawsuits caused gyrations in the crypto market this week. The Binance news fueled sharp drops on Monday for pretty much every token. The next day, in its lawsuit against Coinbase, the SEC explicitly named thirteen tokens that trade on its exchange and labeled them as unregistered securities: Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), Polygon (MATIC), Filecoin (FIL), Sandbox (SAND), Axie Infinity (AXS), Chiliz (CHZ), Internet Computer (ICP), Voyager Token (VGX), NEAR protocol (NEAR), NEXO, FLOW and DASH.
Despite that news, there was a generalized rebound Tuesday, led by both bitcoin and ether, which comprise more than 65% of total crypto market capitalization, according to CoinMarketcap.com. (Investors may have seen the lawsuits as "old news": Coinbase had received a so-called Wells Notice from the SEC earlier this year, which was an indication that action was coming.) Notably, though, that upswing in the broad crypto market was not enjoyed by the 13 named tokens.
To illustrate this, I had Craig Braswell at CoinDesk Indices break out the past month's performance of eleven of the named tokens from the broad CoinDesk Market Index. (Two of the 13 – Voyager's VGX token and Nexo's NEXO – are not included in the CMI as they do not trade on two eligible exchanges.) My colleague Sage D. Young then charted a month's worth of performance data from a composite index of the 11 tokens versus a CMI measure that excludes those eleven.
You'll note a reasonably close correlation between the eleven tokens (the line in purple) and the broader, adjusted CMI (in yellow) up until this week. But this week, the eleven fell more steeply on Monday, experienced a proportionally smaller rebound on Tuesday, and then dropped far more sharply in the second leg down on Wednesday.
This may be a sign of a bifurcation, at least for a while, between tokens like ether and bitcoin that are now considered safe from SEC action, and those that aren't. Time will tell if this trend continues.
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