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Outlook: Congress has restricted the FAA from regulating the safety of commercial space flights since 2004 to help the sector develop without heavy compliance costs. The policy has been extended several times over the years and now runs until 2023. Crews today fly under a regime known as "informed consent," meaning potential astronauts take on similar risks to skydivers and bungee jumpers. Bezos is fighting for a share in the space market that will triple in size to more than $1T in annual sales by 2040, according to Morgan Stanley, whose forecast assumes rapid developments in space tourism, moon landings and satellite broadband Internet. (52 comments) 
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Earnings
Netflix (NFLX) is finding it getting harder to live up to Wall Street's expectations. Evidence of that was seen late Tuesday, as the company forecast Q3 streaming TV subscriber gains that fell far short of analysts' expectations (3.5M vs. 5.9M). While Netflix did add 1.54M subscribers for the period that ended June 30 - compared to estimates of 1.12M new paid members - total first-half subscriber growth was the worst since 2013. Profit also came in at $2.97 a share, missing analysts' expectations of $3.14, though revenue of $7.34B inched ahead of consensus estimates for $7.32B.
Comparisons could be difficult: "We hope we are at the tail end of this COVID choppiness," Netflix CFO Spence Neumann said on a conference call. He also noted that during the second quarter of 2020, Netflix added more than 10M new members as pandemic stay-at-home policies went into effect, which "distorts year-over-year comparisons." "If we deliver on our [third-quarter] guide, our growth pattern in our business is remarkably steady [and] averaging 27M [new subscribers] a year over the last two years," Neumann added, helping shares rise slightly in AH trading.
However, for a company that depends on subscriber fees in order to fuel its ongoing forays into original and exclusive content, Netflix's results hint at a possible rough road ahead. The company lost 430K subscribers in the U.S. and Canada during Q2, and added just 190K paid members in Europe, the Middle East and Africa. "Combined, they shrunk in their two most-profitable markets," said Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter. "That suggests [market] saturation to me. All the recent moves by Peacock, Disney, Hulu and HBO suggest that competition for content will become more fierce."
Outlook: Netflix confirmed it was in the "early stages" of expanding into video games, viewing it as "another content category for us, similar to our expansion into original films, animation and unscripted TV." Last week, Netflix even hired a former Electronic Arts and Facebook executive to lead the effort. While a time frame wasn't given for launching the new vertical, games will be included in current subscription plans at no additional cost. (52 comments)
Comparisons could be difficult: "We hope we are at the tail end of this COVID choppiness," Netflix CFO Spence Neumann said on a conference call. He also noted that during the second quarter of 2020, Netflix added more than 10M new members as pandemic stay-at-home policies went into effect, which "distorts year-over-year comparisons." "If we deliver on our [third-quarter] guide, our growth pattern in our business is remarkably steady [and] averaging 27M [new subscribers] a year over the last two years," Neumann added, helping shares rise slightly in AH trading.
However, for a company that depends on subscriber fees in order to fuel its ongoing forays into original and exclusive content, Netflix's results hint at a possible rough road ahead. The company lost 430K subscribers in the U.S. and Canada during Q2, and added just 190K paid members in Europe, the Middle East and Africa. "Combined, they shrunk in their two most-profitable markets," said Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter. "That suggests [market] saturation to me. All the recent moves by Peacock, Disney, Hulu and HBO suggest that competition for content will become more fierce."
Outlook: Netflix confirmed it was in the "early stages" of expanding into video games, viewing it as "another content category for us, similar to our expansion into original films, animation and unscripted TV." Last week, Netflix even hired a former Electronic Arts and Facebook executive to lead the effort. While a time frame wasn't given for launching the new vertical, games will be included in current subscription plans at no additional cost. (52 comments)
Cryptocurrency
CoinDesk columnist Nic Carter kicked things off at "The ₿ Word" event, an "initiative that aimed to demystify and destigmatize mainstream narratives about Bitcoin, explain how institutions can embrace it, and raise awareness around areas of the network that need support." Carter began by explaining the crucial importance of Proof of Work for Bitcoin (BTC-USD), and why Proof of Stake (less energy intensive) is inferior. He also noted that more transactions doesn't necessarily mean more energy expenditure (that's rather dependent on securing the network), which was in direct contrast to Elon Musk, who two months ago helped set off Bitcoin's collapse by claiming transactions use too much energy.
Seeking Alpha contributor Lyn Alden then took to the floor to try and debunk "Bitcoin Can Be Displaced Easily" FUD. Bitcoin has three "irreplaceable attributes," said Alden - security, scale, and decentralization. She also took note of the oft-used comparison of Bitcoin to MySpace. Bitcoin, she reminded, hit a $1T market cap 13 years after coming into existence - it's a level of scale and market dominance that MySpace never even sniffed.
Meanwhile, Coin Metrics author Nate Maddrey discussed whether "Bitcoin Ownership is Concentrated." He first explained that all Bitcoin transactions are transparent to anyone who wished to view them, including the addresses of wallets that hold Bitcoin. While yes, the top 10% of addresses hold 99% of supply, "addresses" is the key word. Addresses, said Maddrey, are not individuals. An address can represent thousands of individuals (think exchanges like Coinbase (COIN) and institutions). In fact, he says, five of the top 10 largest Bitcoin addresses are exchanges.
Movement: Bitcoin notched a session high of $33K during the event and then stayed around that level for most of the week. Don't forget THE talk:
Cathie Wood: "Our focus on disruptive innovation" attracted her to Bitcoin and crypto in general and she offered her thoughts about how Bitcoin fits within the ESG investing landscape. "Bitcoin's limit of 21M coins ever means its primary use right now is store of value," she added. "Purchasing power will go up over time." She also passed on the research to economist Arthur Laffer, who threw up his hands, and said at last, a rules-based monetary system.
Elon Musk: "I might pump, but I don't dump," he declared, while wearing a shirt about Bitcoin being the evolution of money. "I think about money as an information system, and there's an opportunity for something better than ACH and credit card networks." He further noted that he's an owner of Bitcoin through not just Tesla (TSLA), but through SpaceX (SPACE), and he personally owns Bitcoin, Ether (ETH-USD), and Dogecoin (DOGE-USD). Once Musk is convinced more than 50% of Bitcoin mining was based on renewables, Tesla will again accept the crypto for purchases.
Jack Dorsey: "Bitcoin reminds me of the early Internet. If the internet gets a chance to be a native currency, it's Bitcoin because of its resilience, and community driving it." He also has high hopes for the currency. "We have all these monopolies off balance and the individual doesn't have power and the amount of cost and distraction that comes from our monetary system today is real and it takes away attention from the bigger problems. My hope is that it creates world peace or helps create world peace." (82 comments)
Seeking Alpha contributor Lyn Alden then took to the floor to try and debunk "Bitcoin Can Be Displaced Easily" FUD. Bitcoin has three "irreplaceable attributes," said Alden - security, scale, and decentralization. She also took note of the oft-used comparison of Bitcoin to MySpace. Bitcoin, she reminded, hit a $1T market cap 13 years after coming into existence - it's a level of scale and market dominance that MySpace never even sniffed.
Meanwhile, Coin Metrics author Nate Maddrey discussed whether "Bitcoin Ownership is Concentrated." He first explained that all Bitcoin transactions are transparent to anyone who wished to view them, including the addresses of wallets that hold Bitcoin. While yes, the top 10% of addresses hold 99% of supply, "addresses" is the key word. Addresses, said Maddrey, are not individuals. An address can represent thousands of individuals (think exchanges like Coinbase (COIN) and institutions). In fact, he says, five of the top 10 largest Bitcoin addresses are exchanges.
Movement: Bitcoin notched a session high of $33K during the event and then stayed around that level for most of the week. Don't forget THE talk:
Cathie Wood: "Our focus on disruptive innovation" attracted her to Bitcoin and crypto in general and she offered her thoughts about how Bitcoin fits within the ESG investing landscape. "Bitcoin's limit of 21M coins ever means its primary use right now is store of value," she added. "Purchasing power will go up over time." She also passed on the research to economist Arthur Laffer, who threw up his hands, and said at last, a rules-based monetary system.
Elon Musk: "I might pump, but I don't dump," he declared, while wearing a shirt about Bitcoin being the evolution of money. "I think about money as an information system, and there's an opportunity for something better than ACH and credit card networks." He further noted that he's an owner of Bitcoin through not just Tesla (TSLA), but through SpaceX (SPACE), and he personally owns Bitcoin, Ether (ETH-USD), and Dogecoin (DOGE-USD). Once Musk is convinced more than 50% of Bitcoin mining was based on renewables, Tesla will again accept the crypto for purchases.
Jack Dorsey: "Bitcoin reminds me of the early Internet. If the internet gets a chance to be a native currency, it's Bitcoin because of its resilience, and community driving it." He also has high hopes for the currency. "We have all these monopolies off balance and the individual doesn't have power and the amount of cost and distraction that comes from our monetary system today is real and it takes away attention from the bigger problems. My hope is that it creates world peace or helps create world peace." (82 comments)
Trade
The Brexit drama is far from over, with the U.K. and EU on a collision course over the rules for Northern Ireland. It was only seven months ago that the two sides came to an agreement on a Brexit deal, but Britain now wants to overhaul the trading system for the territory. The special arrangement was previously inked to avoid a hard border on the island of Ireland and prevent a backdoor for smuggling into the bloc, but the protocol has subsequently resulted in a fractious relationship.
Why is it still an issue? Northern Ireland's status is somewhat of a hybrid as it is still part of the United Kingdom, as well as the European Single Market. That means checks need to be done on goods that are traveling from Great Britain to Northern Ireland to block items from leaking into the EU. Most of the checks are carried out on the Irish sea border, which has caused tensions among the pro-U.K. unionist community in Northern Ireland, which doesn't like the idea of a barrier with the mainland.
U.K. Brexit Minister David Frost now sees the situation as untenable and has proposed a plan to substantially rewrite the Northern Ireland protocol. The deal would largely be based on a light-touch regime and the honesty of traders, whereby businesses would register their transactions and agree to inspections of their supply chains. Meanwhile, a deadline is looming at the end of September, when a series of so-called grace periods come to an end and the full weight of checks are supposed to be applied across Irish sea traffic.
Going further: Frost wants to extend the waiver periods indefinitely, and if the EU doesn't put the current arrangements on hold, he's holding back the option of overriding the entire treaty unilaterally. If that would happen, the EU would likely retaliate with tariffs and sanctions, while the relationship would deteriorate even further. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the EU will be "creative and flexible," but has ruled out renegotiation. (5 comments)
Why is it still an issue? Northern Ireland's status is somewhat of a hybrid as it is still part of the United Kingdom, as well as the European Single Market. That means checks need to be done on goods that are traveling from Great Britain to Northern Ireland to block items from leaking into the EU. Most of the checks are carried out on the Irish sea border, which has caused tensions among the pro-U.K. unionist community in Northern Ireland, which doesn't like the idea of a barrier with the mainland.
U.K. Brexit Minister David Frost now sees the situation as untenable and has proposed a plan to substantially rewrite the Northern Ireland protocol. The deal would largely be based on a light-touch regime and the honesty of traders, whereby businesses would register their transactions and agree to inspections of their supply chains. Meanwhile, a deadline is looming at the end of September, when a series of so-called grace periods come to an end and the full weight of checks are supposed to be applied across Irish sea traffic.
Going further: Frost wants to extend the waiver periods indefinitely, and if the EU doesn't put the current arrangements on hold, he's holding back the option of overriding the entire treaty unilaterally. If that would happen, the EU would likely retaliate with tariffs and sanctions, while the relationship would deteriorate even further. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the EU will be "creative and flexible," but has ruled out renegotiation. (5 comments)
U.S. Indices
Dow +1.1% to 35,062. S&P 500 +2.% to 4,412. Nasdaq +2.8% to 14,837. Russell 2000 +2.1% to 2,209. CBOE Volatility Index -6.8% to 17.2.
S&P 500 Sectors
Consumer Staples +0.4%. Utilities -0.9%. Financials +0.3%. Telecom +3.2%. Healthcare +2.2%. Industrials +1.6%. Information Technology +2.8%. Materials +0.8%. Energy -0.4%. Consumer Discretionary +2.9%.
World Indices
London +0.3% to 7,028. France +1.7% to 6,569. Germany +0.8% to 15,669. Japan -1.6% to 27,548. China +0.3% to 3,550. Hong Kong -2.6% to 27,285. India -0.3% to 52,976.
Commodities and Bonds
Crude Oil WTI +0.5% to $72.17/bbl. Gold -0.7% to $1,801.9/oz. Natural Gas +10.1% to 4.046. Ten-Year Treasury Yield +0.3% to 134.18.
Forex and Cryptos
EUR/USD -0.27%. USD/JPY +0.44%. GBP/USD -0.18%. Bitcoin +7.%. Litecoin +5.6%. Ethereum +12.3%. Ripple +4.4%.
Top Stock Gainers
Neurometrix Inc (NASDAQ:NURO) +549%. Nanovibronix Inc (NASDAQ:NAOV) +262%. Nrx Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ:NRXP) +191%. New Home Co. Llc (NYSE:NWHM) +83%. Aehr Test Systems (NASDAQ:AEHR) +79%.
Top Stock Losers
Tal Education Group ADR (NYSE:TAL) -70%. Gaotu Techedu Inc ADR (NYSE:GOTU) -67%. Seres Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:MCRB) -64%. Intrusion Inc (NASDAQ:INTZ) -61%. Red Cat Holdings Inc (OTCQB:RCAT) -55%.
Where will the markets be headed next week? Current trends and ideas? Add your thoughts to the comments section.
Dow +1.1% to 35,062. S&P 500 +2.% to 4,412. Nasdaq +2.8% to 14,837. Russell 2000 +2.1% to 2,209. CBOE Volatility Index -6.8% to 17.2.
S&P 500 Sectors
Consumer Staples +0.4%. Utilities -0.9%. Financials +0.3%. Telecom +3.2%. Healthcare +2.2%. Industrials +1.6%. Information Technology +2.8%. Materials +0.8%. Energy -0.4%. Consumer Discretionary +2.9%.
World Indices
London +0.3% to 7,028. France +1.7% to 6,569. Germany +0.8% to 15,669. Japan -1.6% to 27,548. China +0.3% to 3,550. Hong Kong -2.6% to 27,285. India -0.3% to 52,976.
Commodities and Bonds
Crude Oil WTI +0.5% to $72.17/bbl. Gold -0.7% to $1,801.9/oz. Natural Gas +10.1% to 4.046. Ten-Year Treasury Yield +0.3% to 134.18.
Forex and Cryptos
EUR/USD -0.27%. USD/JPY +0.44%. GBP/USD -0.18%. Bitcoin +7.%. Litecoin +5.6%. Ethereum +12.3%. Ripple +4.4%.
Top Stock Gainers
Neurometrix Inc (NASDAQ:NURO) +549%. Nanovibronix Inc (NASDAQ:NAOV) +262%. Nrx Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ:NRXP) +191%. New Home Co. Llc (NYSE:NWHM) +83%. Aehr Test Systems (NASDAQ:AEHR) +79%.
Top Stock Losers
Tal Education Group ADR (NYSE:TAL) -70%. Gaotu Techedu Inc ADR (NYSE:GOTU) -67%. Seres Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:MCRB) -64%. Intrusion Inc (NASDAQ:INTZ) -61%. Red Cat Holdings Inc (OTCQB:RCAT) -55%.
Where will the markets be headed next week? Current trends and ideas? Add your thoughts to the comments section.
Like Wall Street Breakfast? Try our other newsletters as well.
This email was sent to you because you signed up to receive Wall Street Breakfast.
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