First Mover: Bitcoin Stays in Range Even as Dollar Strengthens

PLUS: BTC fails to break upside resistance
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Technician's Take

by Damanick Dantes, CMT

Bitcoin Bounce Falls Short at Resistance; Support at $30K-$34K

The relief rally from the June 8 low around $31,000 was short-lived as buyers struggled near $40,000 resistance this week. Bitcoin (BTC) is stuck in a month-long consolidation phase and could face downside pressure into the weekend.

 

The daily price chart shows a series of lower price highs since April, which suggests sellers are in control. Initial support is seen at $34,000 and then at $30,000, although upside appears limited given the downward sloping 50-day moving average.

 

Bitcoin was trading around $37,900 at press time and is down about 3% over the past 24-hours.

Bitcoin daily chart shows support and resistance levels with RSI. (Source: TradingView)

  • The consolidation phase lacks upside momentum, which, at this moment, does not confirm a decisive bottom in bitcoin.

  • The relative strength index (RSI) on the daily chart is rising from an initial oversold reading on May 19. However, the weekly RSI is not yet oversold, which could keep sellers active towards lower support levels.

  • Bitcoin's long-term trend remains intact, although a significant loss of momentum over the past few months suggests an extended period of drawdowns similar to the previous bear market in 2018.

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