pmuolo@imfpubs.com, bivey@imfpubs.com
Earlier this month, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods downgraded the common of government-controlled mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to “underperform,” reducing its target price on the former to $1.00 (from $2.00) while trimming the latter to $1.00 from $2.50. But over at Odeon Capital, veteran stock analyst Richard Bove is a bit more optimistic. In a recent research note, he raised his ratings on both to “hold” from “sell’…
Bove’s conclusion: “The companies are doing well. The refinance boom is expected to weaken but not be eliminated.” He also points out that regulator Mark Calabria failed to make good on his earlier promise to take the GSEs out of conservatorship. Then again, if Trump had won the election that plan likely would have moved forward…
Odeon’s new price target on Fannie/Freddie common: $2.00, up from $0.50. The firm also predicts the Collins case before the Supreme Court will result in a victory for the plaintiffs, which means the position of the FHFA director will be declared unconstitutional. “This is likely to be a Pyrrhic Victory in that this finding is not expected to be coupled with a demand that the net worth sweep was illegal and should be eliminated,” Bove argues…
On Friday, Black Knight reported that the mortgage forbearance rate fell to 4.9% of outstanding residential loans as of March 23. The decline for the week: 19,000 units or 135,000 over the past month…
Credit Suisse is prepping a $282.7 million MBS stocked with non-qualified mortgages that have seasoned for an average of 19 months. The top contributor to the MBS is Impac Mortgage with a 36% share.
Subservicing Sector Is Still Growing
The nation’s subservicing vendors ended the fourth quarter with $3.56 trillion worth of contracts on their books, a 16.0% increase from a year prior. If you’re thinking of joining the growing group that outsources handling to a company that focuses on servicing, consult the Guide to Mortgage Subservicing. You’ll learn what types of companies would benefit from using a subservicer, how to select one and set up the relationship, and steps an MSR owner must take to maintain a successful and compliant subservicing situation.
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